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Google Changes…a Webinar That Probably Won’t Suck

14 Jun

I get asked daily …well hourly, really…what’s going on with Google, err Google Shopping, err Google Product Listings, err Froogle, err Google Base, etc.

I’ve lost track of how many marketing budgets I’ve helped forecast the past 2 weeks!

Well, Google reps were at the Mercent booth at IRCE last week and we’ll be doing a webinar with actual information (*cough unlike some some company’s webinars where I used to work *cough ryhmes with ‘Panel Advisor’* *cough* fluff*).

So if you want  the most up to date info available, here you go: *warning crass commercial message ahead* Mercent pays most of my bills these days now that I play poker infrequently*

Making Sense of New Google Shopping

Date: Thursday, June 28th (Add to your calendar)
Time: 1:00PM (PDT)/4:00PM (EDT)
Day of event go to: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/join/479237698
Call in number: (510) 443-0604 Access Code: 479-237-698
Meeting ID: 479-237-698

Hello,Join a panel of Google Shopping experts from Mercent and Google as they discuss the five things you need to know about the changes to Google Shopping – and more important – how you can prepare for those changes in time to capitalize on the 2012 holiday shopping season.Regardless of your current approach to Google Shopping and Product Listing Ads, you’ll come away with specific sales strategies and immediate actions you can take to boost profitability and make the most of Google Shopping.
RSVP and add to your calendarQuestions? Want more info?
Contact Mercent at 206.832.3971 (hell no that’s not my direct line) or hello@mercent.com

 

 

Speaking of Internet Retailer….in Chicago

31 May

Want to hear about the new changes and get free drinks at the same time? Well, Google and Mercent executives will be at the 2012 Internet Retailer Conference & Exhibition (IRCE) held next week June 5-8th in Chicago at McCormick Place West.  Executives will be on hand at the Mercent Booth #529 at to discuss today’s announcement. In addition, Google is an exclusive panel participant at the private retail executive event Mercent is hosting Tuesday June 5th at Chicago’s legendary Shedd Aquarium following the IRCE Welcome Reception.

If you have an interest in learning more or in , free drinks, free food or you have a fish fetish…let me know @ jeff.buechler@mercent.com and I’ll see what I can do about getting you in.

So what the Hell does the Google Shopping Change Mean?

31 May

The cold hard truth is: Merchants pay more. But, smart merchants will do better that dumb ones; and I mean dumb in both the *not smart* and the lack of speech and by extension ability to communicate. Data feed, data quality and management, done in tandem with other Google products (ppc, Product extension ads, etc) is going to more important than ever before. Mercent  (warning!! shameless plug for the company I work for) has already rolled out support for the new changes (hey advance warning is whats what you get when they like you).

Important stuff:

This is a product ad program, There are no keywords, no keyword bidding. Keywords have been replaced by the product catalog. There are 4 crucial factors for Google Shopping: High quality content, product segementation, tracking and promotions. (all pretty good reasons you shouldn’t have this under your PPC business)

Google Product Search (prior GoogleBase, and originally Froogle) will fade from existence. Following a three-month testing and roll-out phase, Google will transition all product listings to a pay-for-placement model controlled through the Google Product Listing Ads (PLA) program. The new program is collectively branded Google Shopping. Read Google’s announcement here.

 

PLA is a unique program that shares characteristics of Comparison Shopping Engines (CSE), paid search, and SEO. PLA is different than paid text ads and, therefore, much different than paid search. Unlike AdWords, PLA rewards higher quality catalog data that essentially replaces the keyword library in determining the ad.

Given the size of this channel for most retailers, there is no time to lose in preparing for Google’s changes. Opportunities and risks abound. Mercent was a beta partner of Google Product Listing Ads at the origin of PLA two years ago. (hey if you  Since PLA widely launched last January we have led the industry in establishing best practices and developing industry-leading technology to extract the most retail advertising performance from the program. In fact, last night we deployed our latest release of the Mercent Retail platform which includes our newest feature, Mercent Retail for Google Shopping. This new feature was built via our close partnership with Google, and is specifically designed to enable efficient, high performance management of PLA.

Mercent is ready.

It is natural to first consider the loss of low-cost traffic that Google’s change will cause. While we lament the loss of Google Product Search as a major source of ecommerce traffic with no attached media spend, there are several reasons to be optimistic about the evolution. From a consumer point of view, Google is reducing clutter and low-quality “spam” listings from fringe advertisers. For retailers, the pay-for-performance hurdle will reduce competition and increase the signal-to-noise ratio for legitimate product listings. This change also creates a more level playing field for smaller retailers and brands to compete against bigger rivals whose sheer size may have provided a leg up in relevance.

Importantly, note that the volume of highly qualified shopper traffic on Google is still as large after this change as it is now. In fact, we believe the overall demand generation opportunity for retailers on Google will grow beginning this fall as Google has greater incentive to expand the program. It boils down to this: like the launch of PLA last January, this change presents a great opportunity to drive sales from Google. It will not be free, but to those ready and willing this is a golden opportunity to beat your competitors to the consumer.

To keep your sales on Google Shopping and, better yet, to steal share from your competitors this holiday, here’s what we recommend you do to prepare:

1. Send/continue to send your feed to Google via Mercent. Continue to optimize your feed content. Continue to improve feed quality. PLA performance is founded first and foremost on the quality, accuracy, and timeliness of your product data. These are all core competencies of Mercent and they are necessary conditions for success in PLA.

2. Closely examine your budget and, if possible, increase your budget for PLA / Google Shopping.

a. First, we are happy to help you work through this as we know this is a major wrench in everyone’s forecast and budget plans. Nevertheless, setting or resetting your budget for Google Shopping is a necessary step.

b. Begin ramping this budget (to replace and/or grow GPS) in July and expect it to be fully scaled for Q4 and the holiday shopping season.

c. Use PLA performance history to guide expected efficiency.

d. In setting budget, also consider how much of your forecast GPS sales you want to replace or surpass. We believe the volume potential is large.

e. As much as possible view this budget as *incremental* to your CSE and paid search text ad budget. We have not seen material cannibalization between PLA and paid text ads to date. It makes every sense for Google to manage these programs so that there is no cannibalization.

3. Ensure your PLA program is properly set up on Mercent. If you rely on Mercent’s marketing management services, your marketing manager has already done this. If you are an advised Mercent software subscriber, our Client Training and Enablement team will be reaching out to you to schedule a review. In any case – never hesitate to call or email us for help

4. Remember that PLA is different than paid text ads. Just because the traffic comes from Google does not mean “PLA is paid search.” That’s like saying SEO is paid search, or GPS is paid search. PLA is a unique program that shares characteristics of Comparison Shopping Engines, paid search, and SEO. It must be managed with an expert understanding of those unique requirements. Mercent leads the market in PLA expertise, and we can manage your program autonomously on your behalf or in partnership with you or other vendors or partners. We are flexible, and as your partner we want to be sure you are as prepared as possible for this change.

Since I’m writing this on company time, I have to add, “if you’d like to learn more, email me jeff.buechler@mercent.com”. What I don’t have to say is, if you are going to IRCE, email and we can get drinks and talk about it…all on the company dime….suckers.

Google Shopping to become…well, Google Shopping.But, no more free for you!

31 May

OK so technically it’s Google Product Search (but that’s called Google Shopping sans paid in some countries)that’s becoming Google Shopping…but since Google Shopping already exists…well, close enough for blog work!  In October, only merchants that pay will be listed. This is the first time (but unlikely to be the last time) that  Google will phase out a previously free search product.  The company announced the change will improve the searcher experience. *of course adding a metric crap ton of additional spend from merchants is nice as well*

From Search Engine Land:

Starting Now: Experiments

Beginning today, Google will run a variety of experiments on Google.com, for a small percentage of searchers at first, that merge listings from Google Product Listing Ads and Google Product Search together. To understand better, consider this “before” example:

You can see that Google has its traditional AdWords text ads above and to the right of the main results. Also above are Product Listing Ads, which were launched at the end of 2010 and allow advertisers to show small images next to their ads, as well as purchase on a CPA (cost per action/sale) basis, rather than the more common CPC (cost per click) basis. Product Listing Ads sometimes appear to the right of the main results, as well.

The screenshot also shows the “free” listings that Google provides, those that come from Google crawling the web, as well as those from Google Product Search. The listings from Google Product Search come from Google’s web crawl as well as from data feeds that merchants send to Google.

In contrast, below is an example of how one of the new experiments may look:

Rather than the Product Listing Ads and Google Product Search results being separate, both will be combined into a single Google Shopping box. Here’s another example, with a close-up on the Google Shopping box:

The example below shows how, at times, only one product might appear and to the side of the main results:

Again, here’s a different example, with a close-up on the box:

Goodbye Google Product Search & Free Listings

As said earlier, Google Product Search currently gets its listings from Google crawling the web or by retailers submitting product data and feeds through the Google Merchant Center. There has been no charge for either. Indeed, Google has never charged for being in its shopping search engine since it began back in December 2002 and was called Froogle.

That’s ending. There’s no firm date on exactly when the free ride will be over, other than it should happen by the fall of this year.

Merchants may continue to be listed within Google’s free web search results. That’s not changing. But those wanting to appear in a dedicated shopping search engine — and in the Google Shopping boxes that will appear as part of Google’s regular results — will need to pay.

Hello Google Shopping & Paid Inclusion

The forthcoming Google Shopping will operate on what’s been known in the search industry as a paid inclusion model. That’s where companies pay to be listed but payment doesn’t guarantee that they’ll rank well for any particular terms.

In particular, Google says advertisers will provide data feeds or create product listings through Google AdWords, in campaigns that are set to run on Google Shopping. It will work very similar to how Product Listing Ads work now. Merchants won’t bid on particular keywords but rather bid how much they’re willing to pay, if their listings appear and get clicks or produce sales. Getting a top ranking will depend on a combination of perceived relevance and bid price.

As part of the changes, Google Shopping will incorporate Google Trusted Stores badges into the listings, for those merchants who participate in the program. Google has already beentesting the use of these within AdWords.

Google also says the new Google Shopping listings will be able to show if merchants have any special deals or offers, though presumably only those offered through Google’s own Google Offers service.

Product Listing Ads as a product will be phased out when Google Shopping takes over, but Google says using the PLA system now is the best way for merchants to prepare for the Google Shopping change. That’s why Google is offering two incentives to get merchants going with them now, if they’re not already:

  • All merchants that create Product Listings Ads by August 15 will receive 10% credit for their total PLA spend through the end of the year
  • Existing Google Product Search merchants will get a $100 AdWords credit if they fill out a form before August 15

Google provides more details about this and the forthcoming transition here. We’ll also be following-up with more transition advice and details as they become known.

Didn’t Google Hate Paid Inclusion?

The paid inclusion model will be familiar to many merchants, who know it’s commonly used with other shopping search engines. But it’s new to Google. In fact, it’s a model that Google once fought against, even to the degree of characterizing it as evil. Those days are over. Google Shopping will becomes the fourth “vertical” or topically-focused search engine from Google to use paid inclusion.

Once Deemed Evil, Google Now Embraces “Paid Inclusion” is my column from yesterday at our sister site Marketing Land. It explains the history of Google’s past opposition to paid inclusion and its reversal over the past year. Of that history, I’ll highlight this part of Google’s 2004 IPO filing, which specifically talked about paid inclusion being bad in terms of shopping search:

Froogle [what's now called Google Product Search and will be called Google Shopping] enables people to easily find products for sale online. By focusing entirely on product search, Froogle applies the power of our search technology to a very specific task—locating stores that sell the items users seek and pointing them directly to the web sites where they can shop. Froogle users can sort results by price, specify a desired price range and view product photos.

Froogle accepts data feeds directly from merchants to ensure that product information is up-to-date and accurate. Most online merchants are also automatically included in Froogle’s index of shopping sites. Because we do not charge merchants for inclusion in Froogle, our users can browse product categories or conduct product searches with confidence that the results we provide are relevant and unbiased.

I bolded the key part. Eight years ago, Google viewed paid inclusion in general as some type of evil the company should avoid and in particular something that could cause shopping search to have poor relevancy or be biased.

What happened to cause such a change?

Reversing Its Stance

For one, Google’s official line seems to be that it hasn’t changed its mind about anything. That’s because it’s changing the definition of what paid inclusion is, to effectively claim that it’s not doing it. This is the statement I was sent after my column appeared yesterday:

Paid inclusion has historically been used to describe results that the website owner paid to place, but which were not labelled differently from organic search results.  We are making it very clear to users that there is a difference between these results for which Google may be compensated by the providers, and our organic search results.

As I did yesterday, I’ll disagree again. Paid inclusion has been historically used to describe when people pay to appear in a search engine’s results but without any guarantee of prominent placement. What’s happening with Google Shopping is classic, textbook paid inclusion. It matches up precisely with the US Federal Trade Commission’s own definition of paid inclusion:

Paid inclusion can take many forms. Examples of paid inclusion include programs where the only sites listed are those that have paid; where paid sites are intermingled among non-paid sites; and where companies pay to have their Web sites or URLs reviewed more quickly, or for more frequent spidering of their Web sites or URLs, or for the review or inclusion of deeper levels of their Web sites, than is the case with non-paid sites.

Again, I’ve bolded the key part, a part that defines exactly what’s going to happen with Google Shopping.

The fact Google considered paid inclusion evil in the past is an embarrassment that some will have a good chuckle about. But companies do change stances. The bigger issue in all this is whether the shift is good for searchers and publishers.

Paid Relationships Can Be Good

When it comes to searchers, Google’s view is that by having a paid relationship, it can better ensure the quality of what it lists in Google Shopping.

“We believe a commercial relationship with partners is critical to ensuring we receive high quality product data, and with better data we can build better products,” Samat told me.

Today’s blog post from Google reflects the same view:

We believe that having a commercial relationship with merchants will encourage them to keep their product information fresh and up to date. Higher quality data—whether it’s accurate prices, the latest offers or product availability—should mean better shopping results for users, which in turn should create higher quality traffic for merchants.

A good example of the potential here is something we covered last November. Google had warned merchants in Google Product Search to include tax and shipping costs in their feeds. But well past Google’s deadline, merchants were still flaunting those rules.

Potentially, those merchants risked being kicked out of Google Product Search. But being a free service, it possible the merchants might come back in another way. There was a low barrier to entry. That low barrier also means much more has to be policed.

When payment is involved, it’s harder to be abusive. Merchants risk losing their accounts, along with any trust built up to those accounts. In addition, when they’re paying by the click or by the sale, there’s more incentive to ensure listings are relevant.

But There Was No Other Way?

Still, this is an unprecedented move by Google. The company has never eliminated a search product that had free listings and shifted to an all-paid model.

I couldn’t think of any examples of this in the past, and Google confirmed this was a first. At best, it offered that Boutiques.com — purchased in 2010 and integrated into Google Product Search in 2011 — had a similar pay-to-play model. But Boutiques.com wasn’t an existing service that was shifted from free to fee.

For a company with such a long history of trying to be inclusive, it’s shocking. It’s more so whenBing Shopping accepts free listings. Google couldn’t find a way to do what Microsoft does?

“We’ve looked at a number of different aspects to approach this, but we have to evolve our experience. We believe consumers have a higher expectation of shopping online,” Samat said.

Will It Stay Comprehensive?

One thing I’ve generally loved about Google Product Search is that if I couldn’t find some odd product on Amazon (which tends to be a pseudo-shopping search engine for me), Google seemed able to ferret it out. But with the change to a paid inclusion model, will the ability to get into the nooks and crannies of the retail web be lost?

Google told me that it currently has tens of thousands of merchants listed in Google Product Search for free. I asked if the company had any idea how that might change when payment is required or if there would be an impact on comprehensiveness?

“We really want all kinds of merchants to participate,” Samat said. But he also said, ”It’s hard to speculate on how this will play out. Our objective here is to deliver a better experience. We are doing a number of things to help the users’ experience get better.”

Going Forward

In the end, Google is shifting to what’s been the industry standard when it comes to shopping search, to have a paid inclusion program. The curious can take a look here at SingleFeed for a rundown on who offers paid plans or here at CPC Strategy. Most shopping search engines do. Even Bing, which is listed as being free, also does paid inclusion through a partnership with Shopping.com, saying that doing this will increase visibility.

One thing about the change is that it will probably cause all the shopping search engines out there to better disclose the paid relationships they have. As I covered in my column yesterday, the FTC has seemed to ignore that some don’t have any disclosure at all, as required. Google’s move has the potential to raise the bar here, and that’s sorely needed.

For searchers, Google’s trying to find the balance between having incredibly comprehensive results and the noise that can harm relevancy when there’s too much junk and not enough signal, it seems. As I said, it remains to see if they’ll get that balance right.

For publishers, there’s a whole lot of worry here. If Google can turn one search product to an all-paid basis, nothing really prevents it from doing the same for others. Could Google News only carry listings from publishers that want to pay? Will Google Places, already just transformed into a part of the Google+ social network, be changed to a pay-or-don’t play yellow pages-style model?

Even web search could be threatened. All the arguments about wanting to get better data and filter out noise are just as applicable to web search. The main reassuring thing here is that there’s little likelihood that Google could get hundreds of millions of web sites to do paid inclusion at the risk of not being listed. Pure paid inclusion works better in the world of vertical search, where there are only thousands of companies you’re dealing with.

Meanwhile, with Google Play selling content, will Google eventually decide that Google Shopping should make the next logical step and provide transactions, the way that Amazon does? At some point, Google the search engine that is supposed to point to destinations may turn into too much of a destination itself.

Is Google Monetizing Google Product Search through Paid Search Ads

9 Sep

In an article by Frank Kochenash Vice President Performance Services, Mercent, Frank thinks that Google is monetizing Google Product Search through Paid Search Ads and has the numbers to back it up.

Really fascinating stuff and when I combine this post with what a little birdie at Google shared with me….well, if you don’t listen  you could be left behind the curve. It’s time to stop looking at Google PPC, PLA and GPs as distinct channels and start looking at blended metrics to get a better picture of performance.

“What’s going on with Google Product Search (GPS)?” is a question I’ve received a lot lately.  GPS was a smoking hot channel for most of the last 18 months.  But traffic and sales comps since about March 2011 have been down, in some cases substantially.  Well, several things are going on, but I think a major one is that Google is starting to more aggressively monetize GPS by shifting traffic away from Google Shopping results and toward its revenue generating programs – Adwords (paid search ads) and Product Listing Ads (PLA).  This is a hypothesis of mine, and I have no inside or other information from Google confirming or denying this.  Below I share why I think this is happening and some of the implications for retailers.

First, some very brief history on GPS performance:

  • 2010 January-September:  GPS performed awesomely.  We were realizing YOY comparable store sales well over 100%.  In addition to great work by us and our clients, this was due to easy comps against the 2009 recession and some tactical missteps Google made on GPS in 2009.
  • 2010 October-December:  Q4 2010 YOY comps got harder because (among our client base) the consumer spending recovery started in Q4 2009.  Also, Google changed some aspects of the user experience that negatively impacted GPS traffic.  In particular, in mid-October they made changes that emphasized local results and, we believe, larger stores.  We saw a dramatic downtick in traffic and sales, but Google acknowledged the mistake and corrected it before the brunt of the buying season.  Short story is that GPS still put up very impressive numbers in Q4, but not like earlier in 2010, meaning comparable store sales were in the 20-50% range.  (In hindsight, their experiments in October and November 2010 look like initial forays into monetizing GPS that had too much of a negative impact on GPS traffic.)
  • 2011 January – June:  The comps started declining further.  Declines accelerated in April, May, and June.  By late spring we were seeing comparable same store sales for GPS in the single digits and lower.  Median account yoy sales growth for GPS only, went negative by late spring.  Essentially, Q1 2011 was still pretty good for GPS in terms of YOY growth, but Q2 was poor to very poor.

Several things are probably affecting GPS results, but I believe one of the biggest is that Google is monetizing GPS by shifting traffic away from GPS and toward its revenue producing channels.  The industry has speculated about whether and how Google would monetize GPS.  Some have speculated that Google would eventually make GPS a CPC program like other comparison shopping engines.  This is a legitimate option, but I think what we’re starting to see is that Google will stick to their tried and true revenue generator, paid search ads, as the vehicle to monetize traffic that comes to Google for shopping.  PLA, in this perspective, is a mere experimental riff on paid search ads.”

A Great Article on Prepping for the Holidays from Stores Magazine

27 Jul

Christmas (Buying) in
July

Christmas (Buying) in
July

From Jul 2011 | By Fred Minnick |

Preparing for those stocking-stuffing
consumers, e-commerce retailers are making holiday planning a top priority.

Holiday sales from November to December rose 5.7 percent (to
$462 billion) last year compared with 2009 — the largest seasonal percentage
increase since 2004, according to the NRF. These figures have retailers
wondering if they can improve results even more this year.

The holiday matters
Eric Best, co-founder and CEO of online tech firm Mercent, works
year-round with retailers to prepare for the holiday season. Mercent has built a
strong track record for improving e-commerce sales and expects to deliver its
typical results this coming holiday season.

What’s typical? Using Mercent Retail solution, which optimizes
paid search campaigns to drive sales for every SKU and merchandising offer,
Gardener’s Supply, headquartered in Burlington, Vt., increased return on
advertising spending (ROAS) 500 percent. Year-over-year sales for FootSmart, an
online retailer specializing in foot and lower body healthcare products,
increased more than 400 percent, with gross profits rising substantially. REI
used Mercent’s on-demand platform to automate and optimize the company’s data
feed marketing efforts, while SitStay.com’s sales on Amazon.com increased after using Mercent.

As these and other clients look at their holiday planning,
“They are becoming more risk-tolerant as they get more comfortable with
year-over-year growth, with a trend line that is now up and to the right,” Best
says. “That is giving the retail planners some level of comfort that they’re
going to have another successful year.”

Despite a solid January, 2011 started off slow, and some
retailers are looking for holiday sales to make up for soft early quarters
impacted by the Japanese earthquake and tsunami, a late holiday and bad
weather.

“We actually saw a steady decline in February and March,” Best
says. “Our clients were starting to feel a little jittery by the end of the
first quarter, just based on their year-over-year sales comparables.

“Part of that March softness, it turns out, was related to a
late Easter holiday,” he says. “January, February, March was decelerating
growth. April and May have been accelerating again, getting us back in May to
effectively where we expected we would be in terms of our forecast at the
beginning of the year.”

Best says the trends point to a positive holiday forecast – and
that forecasting itself is becoming more accurate. This allows companies to have
aggressive targets in terms of their space capacity as well as their staffing
expectations in the customer call center and the warehouses.

Some Mercent clients “are actually playing around with moving
some inventory over to Amazon’s warehouses in advance of the holiday, using
Amazon’s warehouses as contingent square footage,” Best says. “This allows them
to handle the peak holiday volumes without having to necessarily make permanent
infrastructure investments in warehouse space.”

Big holiday spend & buy
One of Mercent’s clients, a Midwest-based children’s product
retailer, is using 47 percent of its total 2011 ad spend in the fourth quarter
to capture holiday shoppers.

“The holiday is definitely one of our more exciting time
periods,” says a spokeswoman for the company. “We always see the greatest growth
during this time period and we get to showcase a higher amount of SKUs to
fulfill the demand.”

Her company’s 2010 holiday assortment was conservative, she
says, but “this year we have quadrupled our holiday gear and are thrilled about
that because we usually sell out rather quickly.”

In August, this retailer will create holiday search, display
and affiliate ads to hit around October. “The reason we start earlier is due to
our large product assortment push, as well as wanting to keep the same ‘voice’
prevalent throughout all our text ads,” the spokeswoman says.

On the buying side, children’s department store CookiesKids.com is planning holiday buys earlier
than ever, says founder Al Falack. Beginning in February, he says, the company
started importing goods directly from manufacturers.

“We also plan on sending a high percentage of our toys to be
fulfilled directly by Amazon.com,” Falack says. “Our primary goal is to complete
buying by June 25th, with deliveries no later than October 15th. We think that
if we could get a head start with receiving the inventory we will have more time
to focus on aggressively marketing and selling versus chasing
product.”

Amazon.com is the company’s biggest channel for the holiday
season. Therefore, “in addition to following and keeping up with trends in terms
of popular games and toys, it’s imperative we understand the mindset of Amazon
shoppers — how they discover, evaluate and ultimately purchase products,” he
says. “This impacts the way we market, promote and sell products through this
channel.”

Possible holiday trends
There’s clearly a focus on the social influence for this year’s
holiday planning, Best says, with retailers paying particular attention to
Facebook and mobile shopping trends. “There are questions and a lot of
investment occurring in mobile shopping,” he says, “which, in some ways, has
potential to impact traditional bricks-and-mortar retailers even more than the
pure-play e-commerce companies, because you can tie in-store shopping behaviors
to digital information that you can syndicate on these devices.”

And holiday planning is no longer just a
domestic proposition; even for the smaller-scale retailers, there’s planning to
capture international markets. Firms like FiftyOne, which helps domestic
retailers with offshore fulfillment, have filled smaller retailers’ desire to
meet international demand.

Best says people are focused on Europe and Australia because of the exchange rate. “Some of it is
the fact that you have cheaper, higher capacity shipping options for actually
drop-shipping product overseas,” he says. “And some of it is that there are
software tools that are available that make it easier to do current [currency]
conversion and handle international fulfillment.”

Another 2011 shift is that consumers’ capriciousness is being
indulged through private sales sites like Rue La La, Gilt, Groupon and
LivingSocial. “[These sites] have implications for the holiday,” Best says. “We
saw it last year. From October [2010] to January, we had a big U-shaped curve
where December and January represented a spike. There’s always the peak selling
days of December 12 and 13, but in the aggregate the days following Christmas
and heading into early January actually contributed more volume overall than
those peak selling days.”

Best believes this new consumer behavior is a reflection of the
Groupon and LivingSocial deals.
“Consumers are doing exactly what retailers
are training them to do, which is to either take advantage of those early
door-buster discounts or wait until December 26 to take further advantage of
discounted pricing,” he says.

For retailers that have yet to complete their holiday planning,
Best recommends locking down promotional calendars while becoming more front-
and back-loaded than in years past.

“The overall holiday sales volume is going to occur around
Black Friday, Cyber Monday and post-Christmas,” Best says. “By August, you
should have variable capacity to be more responsive to last-minute opportunities
that are presented either through your advertising programs or through your
supply chain.

“You should be thinking about what happens if sales
significantly outpace or under-pace your expectations,” he says. In other words,
“What are your contingency plans?”

Consumers More Likely to Return to Sites That Include Community Aspects

17 Apr

From: http://www.marketingcharts.com/direct/consumers-return-to-online-shopping-sites-that-embrace-web-20-4265/?camp=newsletter&src=mc&type=textlink

With consumers continuing to spend briskly online, and social websites aggregating ever-larger numbers of participants, the twain – online shopping and social networking – may finally be meeting, according to a nationwide survey from Guidance and Synovate.

In the new survey, more than 60% of respondents report being drawn to online retailers that employ Web 2.0 tools and techniques.

The Guidance/Synovate eNation study of some 1,000 online consumers, conducted in March, asked: “When thinking about shopping online, what is most likely to make you return to a given shopping website?”

Among the findings:

guidance-synovate-online-shopping-why-return-to-website.jpg

  • 35% of respondents say they’re most likely to return to a shopping website if it makes recommendations on products or services for sale.
  • 26% say they want “a unique experience each time” they shop.
  • 18% say they’re more likely to return “if the site solicits their feedback” on its products and services.
  • 16% say “a welcome when they arrive” at the site is the factor most likely to make them return
  • 6% say  they’re most likely to return “if the site makes them feel part of a community” with other shoppers/site visitors.

Drilling Down: Social Shopping Online

Other key findings:

  • Fully 41% of those age 18-24, the prime demographic for the social web, say they’re most likely to return to a site that makes recommendations. Only 29% of those 55-64 say so.
  • Women are far more likely to be influenced by a welcome greeting – with 20% saying it’s the feature most likely to get them to return, compared with 12% of men.
  • The older you are, the more you want to give feedback: The upper three age groups were more likely than the bottom three to say that a site that solicits their feedback is most likely to make them return.
  • A few groups went against the overall trend by not selecting “recommendations” as their No. 1 choice: non-whites (they chose both “unique experience” and “feedback” ahead of recommendations), those with post-grad education (”unique experience” was slightly higher), and those with incomes under $25K (first choice was the “welcome”).
  • There’s a wide gap between the lowest-income bracket and all others:
    • Only 26% of those who earn less than $25,000 per year chose “recommendations,” 10 percentage points below all other income categories.
    • Respondents in the lowest income bracket were far more likely to prefer a “welcome” – 27% said it was the feature most likely to make them return, at least 13 percentage points higher than the other income categories (14% of those earning $25K-$50K and those earning $75K+, and 12% of those earning $50K-$75K agreed). 

“The economy is fragile and the competition for the consumer dollar is fierce, but as these findings make abundantly clear, online commerce is now a two-way street – and retailers need to embrace that reality, ” said Jason Meugniot, Guidance president and CEO.

“Online consumers and merchants are in dialogue as never before, and consumers are counting on each other for insights in making purchase decisions. Recommendations have become the new currency of online commerce, along with their corollary, the opportunity to give feedback to the e-Commerce site.”

Interesting Ecomm Data

8 Apr

Blatantly stolen from my boss’ blog and edited for my own nefarious purposes.  Just so much good data that is so hard to find normally…WARNING: some ChannelAdvisor horn tooting to follow.

“We spend a lot of time at ChannelAdvisor following the various datapoints and thoughts around e-commerce and today Forrester research (Sucharita Mulpuru is the analyst) came out with a joint report/survey with the great folks at Shop.org (I/we are an active member FYI).

The headlines of the report are good news for internet retailers:

  • Forrester sees e-commerce growing at 17% y/y in the US (This is good because comscore is starting to talk about 14% and maybe lower).  I’m an optimist and think that in early 09 the pundits will update the data to be more like 20%
  • This puts e-commerce at $208B for 2008, up from $174 in 07
  • e-commerce represents 7% of retail.
  • search engine marketing (what I call paid-search) drove 35% of sales and is still the top channel for retailers
  • 65% of retailers are experimenting with social networks
  • Forrester is predicting that growth will be driven by the computer, CE, auto and apparel categories.
  • Retailers spend $.50/click on average for paid-search and see $8.47 in incremental revenue (that’s a weird metric)

I downloaded the report and what’s neat is that shop.org/Forrester are finally seeing and reporting on the multi e-commerce channel trends we’ve been talking about for years.  For example, they have this figure from the survey section that covers the top channels for retailers (note these would be larger retailers, primarily with brick-and-mortar operations as well I would assume):

Shop_org2

Another interesting datapoint they have from the survey is they asked retailers for a variety of e-commerce channels what the cost per order for the channel is and the average selling price.  I’ve found that most retailers like to look at channel costs either as a ROAS (return on ad spend) or an ‘Effective Take Rate’ (ETR), which is more of a cost of sales kind of model which helps for margin-planning/forecasting.  So I took the Forrester data and splatted it into a spreadsheet to calculate the ETR.  I also added eBay and Amazon as marketplaces with their ETR’s and ordered the channels from lowest ETR to highest and this is the result: (Amazon/eBay are highlighted to indicate I added them)

Shop_org

The only datapoint on here that looks unusual to me is the CSE data, usually we would see this more in-line with paid-search so I’m going to go look at our data and see if there’s anything noteworthy there. ( editor’s note: while that percent does seem high to me, I would expect it to be in the 20-22% range)  Not to toot our own horn here, but my guess is the retailers surveyed aren’t watching their CSE programs very closely or using ShoppingAdvisor to optimize their CSE channel.

If you’d like to learn more, there are several news items out today covering the report:

Online Sales to Grow 17% in ’08

8 Apr

 AP Report

Online spending is expected to rise a robust 17 percent this year, despite a sluggish economy that has bruised many brick-based retailers, according to an annual survey to be released Tuesday.

Retail sales online, excluding travel purchases, are set to grow to $204 billion in 2008 from $174.5 billion last year, fueled by sales of apparel, computers and autos, according to a survey conducted by Internet analysis firm Forrester Research for Shop.org, the online arm of the National Retail Federation trade group. That projection is below the 21 percent increase seen in the prior year, but industry officials attribute it to the maturing of the business, not the sluggish economy.

E-commerce “is clearly the bright spot in retailing,” said Scott Silverman, executive director of Shop.org.

The upbeat report contrasts with the outlook for many traditional retailers, which have been paring down store growth and closing shops as they struggle with consumers who don’t feel like spending amid higher gas and food costs, a housing slump and a weaker job market. The exceptions are discounters and wholesale clubs, as shoppers turn to less expensive stores.

On Thursday, the nation’s retailers are expected to report at best flat sales growth in March, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers. Same-stores sales are sales at stores opened at least a year and are considered a key indicator of a retailer’s health.

Online retailers are not immune to the same economic challenges, but what has spearheaded e-commerce growth is a “tale of two shoppers that visit the Web for different reasons,” according to Sucharita Mulpuru, a Forrester Research analyst and lead author of the report.

There are the price-sensitive shoppers who appear to be buying more items online as they look for better prices. And then there are the more affluent customers, who have been increasing their online spending because of the convenience and vast offerings.

But those shoppers looking for a bevy of free online shipping deals may not find them as plentiful as they did last year. The study, which surveyed 125 online retailers in February and March, showed that merchants are less interested in using such promotions this year. While 85 percent of online retailers said they used some shipping incentive in the past year, just 35 percent said they would focus more on these types of deals in 2008.

Instead, retailers said they plan to invest more in advertising on social networking sites like myspace.com and facebook.com, according to the survey.

That may not be the best strategy, according to Mulpuru.

“It’s great for brand-building and for buzz, but it’s still unproven how social networking drives direct revenue” for retailers, said Mulpuru.

Niche Shopping Engines: a primer

5 Mar

My good friend Rob Walter will be conducting a webinar on the changes to the Comparison Shopping landscape, techniques to leverage the niche engines for customer growth and tactics to maximize your CSE footprint. If you are interested in attending…shoot me an email or leave a comment!

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